Australia’s debt dilemma – a concern or a crisis?

Australia’s debt dilemma – a concern or a crisis?

Any hiccups from China will rattle our economy – and the past week has seen some concerning signals emanating from Beijing that its latest attempt to extract itself from a looming debt crisis.

The Australian and Chinese manufacturing sectors were impacted by the global financial crisis (GFC) in contrasting ways. In summary, manufacturing has been in relative decline within the Australian economy: its share in the economy has been falling and today stands at 8.5 per cent compared to 12.1 per cent in 2000.

Australia’s external debt: Is it a symptom or a cause of economic slowdown? Abstract Amidst the debate surrounding the ‘debt problem’ in Australia, the key analytical issue of whether external debt is a symptom or a cause of economic slowdown has been ignored. Sachs (1990) and Kenen (1990)

World leaders have said they’d prefer a pro-euro result, underscoring concern over global repercussions. Now in its third year, the european debt crisis has rounded back to Greece, which sparked.

But we also heard a great deal about their concerns.. Europe is suffering what is being widely termed a “debt crisis,” and as a recent IMF report notes (PDF), Australia, for example, seems to have thus far skirted the issue.

So the RBA’s dilemma is leave things as they are and "households having decided that they had borrowed too much, might cut back consumption sharply, hurting the overall economy and employment." – putting more pressure on wages and debt servicing. Cut rates and they risk people taking on more debt and inflate the property bubble even more.

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Australian government debt and fiscal position. Net debt is one of numerous economic indicators which provide a quantitative measure of the financial health of an organisation. For example, if a government has a gross debt that is 50% of GDP but has very little cash and or assets (high net debt) it may struggle with this level of debt.

A concern, not a crisis. High household debt represents a risk to Australia’s economic outlook as high debt could amplify or lengthen an economic downturn.

Wesley widmaier receives funding from the Australian. one hand, debt remains a Damocles sword hanging over the U.S. economy, and a rise in rates could cut the thread. Household debt is approaching.

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